Leo XIV, Year One. Notes on the Geopolitics of the New Pope

The fir­st pope who bore this name, Leo the Great, a superb theo­lo­gian and homi­li­st, con­fron­ted Attila and mana­ged to dis­sua­de him from descen­ding on Rome, during the era of the bar­ba­rian inva­sions of the empi­re.

But the new pope too, who has taken the name of Leo XIV, a theo­lo­gian and cano­ni­st rai­sed in the school of the great Augustine, will have to face the modern Attilas, in the cur­rent uphea­val of inter­na­tio­nal balan­ces, whe­ther they be cal­led Xi Jinping, or Vladimir Putin.

His fir­st words, from the log­gia of St. Peter’s Basilica, were the same as tho­se of the risen Christ. “Peace be with you all.” And ten times he came back to repeat: “pea­ce.” Which howe­ver for the Augustine of De civi­ta­te Dei was never syno­ny­mous with sur­ren­der, but also a rea­son for a just war, “when a sta­te must be for­ced to return what it has taken away unju­stly.”

Robert Francis Prevost, in his life as Augustinian reli­gious, scho­lar, mis­sio­na­ry, bishop, and car­di­nal pre­fect, never grap­pled with geo­po­li­tics, which instead is dai­ly bread for Cardinal Pietro Parolin, who flan­ked him on the log­gia of St. Peter’s.

Everything fore­sha­do­ws that Leo XIV will con­firm Parolin in the offi­ce of secre­ta­ry of sta­te and will act from now on in full agree­ment with him and with Vatican diplo­ma­cy. And this is alrea­dy enou­gh to over­turn the ways in which Pope Francis acted in the inter­na­tio­nal are­na, deci­ding on his lone­so­me what to say and what to do, set­ting asi­de and humi­lia­ting the secre­ta­riat of sta­te and instead using the “paral­lel diplo­ma­cy” brought to bear by the Community of Sant’Egidio, of which Cardinal Matteo Zuppi too has been part from the begin­ning.

Ukraine could be a deci­si­ve testing ground for this reor­de­ring, as sho­wn by the joy­ful mes­sa­ge addres­sed to the new pope by the major arch­bi­shop of the Greek Catholic Church of that nation, Sviatoslav Shevchuk: “By taking the name of Leo, His Holiness testi­fies to the enti­re world that the breath of pea­ce of the risen Savior must be tran­sfor­med, in the cur­rent con­text, into a renewed doc­tri­ne of the Catholic Church on just and lasting pea­ce.”

Of cour­se, Leo XIV will no lon­ger be heard justi­fy­ing Putin’s aggres­sion again­st Ukraine as having been pro­vo­ked by NATO, which “went to bark at Russia’s gates without under­stan­ding that the Russians are impe­rial and do not allow any forei­gn power to come clo­se to their bor­ders,” as Pope Francis said more than once.

Nor will it hap­pen again that the Ukrainian peo­ple will hear from Leo XIV the reque­st to have “the cou­ra­ge of sur­ren­der, of the whi­te flag,” as pro­po­sed by his pre­de­ces­sor, nor much less the urging to make Kyiv an “open city” for the entry of Russian troops, without resi­stan­ce, as invo­ked in the fir­st days of the inva­sion by the foun­der and all-powerful head of the Community of Sant’Egidio, Andrea Riccardi.

In short, it is fore­seea­ble that with Pope Leo XIV the secre­ta­riat of sta­te will soon resu­me its auto­no­my of action on the ter­rain of inter­na­tio­nal poli­tics, in full agree­ment with the pope and free from any abu­si­ve “paral­lel diplo­ma­cy.” And if it remains true that Parolin belongs to that diplo­ma­tic cur­rent cal­led “Ostpolitik” which had in Cardinal Agostino Casaroli its tea­cher, wide­ly kno­wn not to have been shared by either John Paul II or Benedict XVI, it is no less true that today the inter­na­tio­nal balan­ce is so upset as to requi­re an inven­ti­ve capa­ci­ty without pre­ce­dent, also on the part of Vatican diplo­ma­cy.

If one unk­no­wn remains, on the futu­re steps of this pon­ti­fi­ca­te in inter­na­tio­nal rela­tions, it con­cerns China and demands to be descri­bed in detail.

Between the Holy See and China the­re has been in effect sin­ce 2018 an agree­ment desi­red at all costs by Pope Francis and woven by Parolin him­self, but imple­men­ted by the Beijing autho­ri­ties with a cre­scen­do of high-handedness that rea­ched its peak pre­ci­se­ly in the days of the sede vacan­te.

Not only did China not send any repre­sen­ta­ti­ve to the fune­ral of the decea­sed pon­tiff, but it expres­sed its ack­no­w­ledg­ment of Francis’s pas­sing in the few cir­cum­stan­tial words utte­red by the spo­ke­sman for the mini­stry of forei­gn affairs in respon­se to a que­stion from a forei­gn jour­na­li­st. And it impo­sed silen­ce on offi­cial Catholic web­si­tes like “Catholic Church in China,” which pre­sen­ted the ter­se news of the pope’s death for only a few hours, soon making it disap­pear.

Above all, in tho­se same days of sede vacan­te China announ­ced the appoint­ment of two new bishops, without even simu­la­ting the “a poste­rio­ri” con­sent of the pope requi­red by the 2018 agree­ment. Two appoint­men­ts that were any­thing but friend­ly toward Rome.

The fir­st was the pro­mo­tion of Wu Jianlin as auxi­lia­ry of the dio­ce­se of Shanghai, the same one whe­re in 2023 Beijing instal­led as titu­lar bishop one of its ultra-loyalists, Joseph Shen Bin, without even giving advan­ce noti­ce to Pope Francis, who mon­ths later had to accept the impo­si­tion, and as if the dio­ce­se did not alrea­dy have two auxi­lia­ries: Joseph Xing Wenzi, who fell from gra­ce in 2011 and was for­ced to reti­re to pri­va­te life, and abo­ve all Thaddeus Ma Daqin, ordai­ned bishop on July 7, 2012, but from that very day under con­ti­nuous arre­st for the sole cri­me of having can­ce­led his mem­ber­ship in the Chinese Catholic Patriotic Association, the regime’s main organ of con­trol over the Church.

The second was the appoint­ment as bishop of Xinxiang, in the pro­vin­ce of Henan, of ano­ther ultra-loyalist of the Communist Party, Li Jianlin, the­re too with a bishop alrea­dy pre­sent but not offi­cial­ly reco­gni­zed, Joseph Zhang Weizhu, repea­ted­ly arre­sted for not sub­mit­ting to the regi­me. In 2018, the new bishop of Xinxiang distin­gui­shed him­self by signing the ordi­nan­ce that for the who­le pro­vin­ce pro­hi­bi­ted minors under 18 from ente­ring chur­ches to attend Mass.

In addi­tion to tho­se men­tio­ned, in China the­re are other bishops depri­ved of their free­dom.

One of the­se is Peter Shao Zhumin, bishop of Wenzhou, who perio­di­cal­ly, befo­re Christmas and Easter, is taken away to a secret loca­tion to pre­vent him from cele­bra­ting the festi­vi­ties with his fai­th­ful, and who also in the­se Easter days of the chan­ge of pon­ti­fi­ca­te is in some unk­no­wn pla­ce of segre­ga­tion.

Another is Vincent Guo Xijing, one of the fir­st appoin­ted under the 2018 agree­ment bet­ween China and the Holy See, as auxi­lia­ry of the dio­ce­se of Mindong, but who soon reti­red “to live in prayer” rather than sub­mit to the obli­ga­tion to regi­ster with the offi­cial bodies, and who sin­ce last win­ter has been con­fi­ned to his home behind a gate bar­red with a con­spi­cuous chain.

Given that never was a sin­gle public word rai­sed on the part of Pope Francis and of the top Vatican autho­ri­ties to defend the­se mar­tyrs of Chinese oppres­sion, many are won­de­ring today, with Pope Leo XIV, how long this silen­ce can still last.

In addi­tion, as of May 1 the­re went into effect in China hosti­le new rules – a sort of “tariff” – impo­sed on forei­gners who tem­po­ra­ri­ly set foot on Chinese soil with the intent of car­ry­ing out any acti­vi­ty that may have to do with reli­gion.

On “Catholic Church in China” the­se rules can be read in full. In par­ti­cu­lar, forei­gners are stric­tly pro­hi­bi­ted from having any con­tact with what are cal­led the “under­ground” reli­gious com­mu­ni­ties, that is, tho­se not reco­gni­zed by the govern­ment, or with priests who have not joi­ned the man­da­to­ry Chinese Catholic Patriotic Association.

But even in the offi­cial­ly reco­gni­zed chur­ches, forei­gners can­not min­gle with resi­den­ts. They must cele­bra­te their rites alo­ne, pro­vi­ded that they be offi­cia­ted over by an emis­sa­ry of the regi­me.

It is also for­bid­den to bring into China more than 10 books or audio­vi­sual mate­rials on reli­gious sub­jec­ts. And woe beti­de anyo­ne who should wish to distri­bu­te such books without prior per­mis­sion from the autho­ri­ties, which in any case is very com­pli­ca­ted to get.

In short, that “sini­ci­za­tion” of reli­gions which is one of Xi Jinping’s dog­mas has mar­ked with the­se new rules a fur­ther clamp­do­wn pre­ci­se­ly in the days of the chan­ge of pon­ti­fi­ca­te.

A chal­len­ge that Leo XIV will no lon­ger be able to shirk or endu­re only pas­si­ve­ly. Like Leo the Great, he too will have to con­front the Attilas of our time.

(Translated by Matthew Sherry: traduttore@hotmail.com)

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Sandro Magister is past “vati­ca­ni­sta” of the Italian wee­kly L’Espresso.
The late­st arti­cles in English of his blog Settimo Cielo are on this page.
But the full archi­ve of Settimo Cielo in English, from 2017 to today, is acces­si­ble.
As is the com­ple­te index of the blog www.chiesa, which pre­ce­ded it.

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